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Win probability prediction for IPL match using various machine learning techniques

Chandra Sekhar SanaboinaKalaparthi Vikram Kumar

Abstract

The paper's primary objective is to predict the win probability for both the batting and bowling teams in the IPL (Indian Premier League) match using various machine learning algorithms. This paper tackles the challenge of forecasting the result of a match determined by the Target, Net Run Rate (NRR), Current Run Rate (CRR), Score, Fall of Wickets, and the Technique each team employs during each game. For making predictions, three machine learning models Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Naive Bayes were utilized. The Logistic Regression and Random Forest Algorithms provide the best results and have an accuracy rate of 82% and 96% respectively whereas Naïve Bayes has an accuracy rate of 63%.

Sports Analytics and PerformanceRandom forestNaive Bayes classifierLogistic regressionMachine learningComputer scienceArtificial intelligenceBayes' theoremRegressionStatisticsSupport vector machine
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