Growth and instability in the production of rice crop in Khyberpaktunkhwa, Pakistan

Abstract

The current research study tried to examine fluctuation in the production of rice crop in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa Pakistan covering the period from 1991-92 to 2020-21 for empirical analysis. To find the growth, we used various growth models such as Power, Exponential, Logarithmic, Cubic, and Compound growth model to fit the best growth model, while Cuddy Della Vella Index was employed to find instability in the production of rice crops. R2 (coefficient of determination) criteria was used to find the suitable growth model for the production of rice crop. Cubic growth model was found best on the basis of the value of R-Square. Growth rate of rice production were calculated by using cubic model were found 1.18%. Moreover, the instability was found to be 0.79%. Based on the finding, the study recommended that government must bring additional area under rice crop, awareness about the recommended seeds and institutional credits at lower interest rate must be offered to rice growers to increase production of rice crop.