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Asymmetric cointegration and threshold adjustment between exchange rate and non-crude oil exports in Nigeria

Aliyu Alhaji Jibrilla

Abstract

This paper empirically examines the long-run pass-through of the official exchange rate into non-crude oil exports in Nigeria utilizing threshold cointegration and asymmetric error-correction modeling for the sample period from June 1996M01 to December 2018M12. The study provides evidence for nonlinear cointegration between exchange rates and non-crude oil exports, in a form of upward rigidity. This finding shows that the response of non-crude oil exports to any decrease in the official exchange rate is faster than its response when there is a fall in the value of the domestic currency.

Energy, Environment, and Transportation PoliciesEnergy, Environment, Economic GrowthNatural Resources and Economic DevelopmentCointegrationEconomicsCrude oilExchange rateCurrencyEconometricsError correction modelMonetary economicsEngineering
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References
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Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1979 · 22,774 citations
Testing for a unit root in time series regression
Biometrika · 1988 · 17,746 citations
Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root
Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1979 · 9,000 citations
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