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Wisdom of Crowds: The Value of Stock Opinions Transmitted Through Social Media

Review of Financial Studies · 2014 · Vol. 27(5) · pp. 1367–1403
Hailiang ChenPrabuddha DeYu Jeffrey HuByoung‐Hyoun Hwang

Abstract

Social media has become a popular venue for individuals to share the results of their own analysis on financial securities. This paper investigates the extent to which investor opinions transmitted through social media predict future stock returns and earnings surprises. We conduct textual analysis of articles published on one of the most popular social media platforms for investors in the United States. We also consider the readers' perspective as inferred via commentaries written in response to these articles. We find that the views expressed in both articles and commentaries predict future stock returns and earnings surprises.

Financial Markets and Investment StrategiesAuditing, Earnings Management, GovernanceStock Market Forecasting MethodsCrowdsSocial mediaChenValue (mathematics)Library scienceSociologyStock (firearms)Media studiesManagementPolitical science
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The Journal of Finance · 2011 · 2,969 citations
The Effect of Word of Mouth on Sales: Online Book Reviews
Journal of Marketing Research · 2006 · 5,856 citations
Are Investors Reluctant to Realize Their Losses?
The Journal of Finance · 1998 · 3,748 citations
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