Prediction of covid-19 cases in India using prophet

Abstract

The substantial spike in daily new cases infected with the novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) worldwide is alarming and many researchers are now carrying out several analyses to forecast the future pattern of this pandemic. In this study, we have forecasted the expected daily number of COVID-19 cases in India for the next four weeks using Prophet. The results have demonstrated that by the end of the second week of August, the rate of proliferation of COVID-19 might reach upto 1,500,000 cases per day in India. It is observed that the performed model of fit is accurate within a certain range, and extreme preventive and control measures are suggested in an effort to avoid such a situation.