Comparative study of literacy rate in Telangana state and India using holt’s double exponential smoothing approach

Abstract

Literacy is the key for socio-economic progress. Although literacy rates are improved after the independence, the level of literacy is still below the world average literacy rate of 84% and of all nations. India currently has the largest illiterate population. Despite governments’ motivation, India’s literacy rate increased only sluggishly and recent research literature suggests that it would take until 2060 for India to achieve universal literacy at then-current rate of progress. The current survey of 66th round of NSS estimates indicate that in 2009-10, less than two-thirds (66.8%) of the population of all ages were literate. The overall disparity in literacy across the population is heightened by the presence of rural- urban and male-female disparity. This paper analytically discusses the literacy rates and educational level of different social groups based upon various rounds of NSSO estimates. This paper has been divided into three levels. In the first level literacy rate among Telangana states of Top districts including Rural and Urban areas is discussed. In the second level growth rate of literacy from India was presented. In the third level comparative study of literacy rate from Telangana state and India is presented. In the final stage statistical analysis and forecasting of Literacy rate using Holt’s Exponential Smoothing method is used.