Dynamics of land use pattern: A time series analysis

Abstract

A study was undertaken to analyze the dynamic changes in land use pattern relating to growth, instability, elasticity of major crops in Jammu region. The data was collected for a period of 30 years from 1981 to 2010. The data revealed that there was an overall growth in area, production and yield of rice, 0.24 per cent, 1.61 per cent and 1.32 per cent respectively. In case of maize, growth in area was 1.40 per cent, growth in production was 0.75 per cent and growth in yield was -0.19 per cent, growth in area under wheat was 0.8 per cent, growth in production of wheat was recorded as 2.44 per cent and growth in yield was estimated to be 1.58 per cent. Pulses recorded a growth rate in area of -2.51 per cent, in production it was -7.37 and for yield it was recorded to be 2.78 per cent. The overall instability index in case of rice was16.06 per cent, for maize it was 11.68, wheat recorded instability index of 23.87 and for pulses instability index was found to be 24.80.