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Projected Volume of Primary Total Joint Arthroplasty in the U.S., 2014 to 2030

Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery · 2018 · Vol. 100(17) · pp. 1455–1460

Matthew Sloan✉(University of Pennsylvania)Ajay Premkumar(Hospital for Special Surgery)Neil P. Sheth(Pennsylvania Hospital)

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Abstract

Previously anticipated exponential TJA growth is inconsistent with the most recent trends. An updated projection based on 2000-to-2014 data is provided to project the growth of primary TJA procedures to the year 2030. These data will help guide health-care economic policy and allocation of future resources in order to optimize the delivery of patient care.

Total Knee Arthroplasty Outcomes Orthopaedic implants and arthroplasty Orthopedic Infections and TreatmentsPoisson regressionJoint arthroplastyLinear regressionVolume (thermodynamics)PopulationArthroplastySample size determinationRegression analysisPoisson distributionTotal hip arthroplasty

MeSH terms

Procedures and Techniques UtilizationAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesUnited StatesArthroplasty, Replacement, HipArthroplasty, Replacement, Knee

Citations

2,041

FWCI

145.12

field-weighted impact

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100%

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Citations per year

Cited by

Projections and Epidemiology of Revision Hip and Knee Arthroplasty in the United States to 2030