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Econometric Analysis of Realized Volatility and its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models

Abstract

Summary The availability of intraday data on the prices of speculative assets means that we can use quadratic variation-like measures of activity in financial markets, called realized volatility, to study the stochastic properties of returns. Here, under the assumption of a rather general stochastic volatility model, we derive the moments and the asymptotic distribution of the realized volatility error—the difference between realized volatility and the discretized integrated volatility (which we call actual volatility). These properties can be used to allow us to estimate the parameters of stochastic volatility models without recourse to the use of simulation-intensive methods.

Financial Risk and Volatility ModelingComplex Systems and Time Series AnalysisStochastic processes and financial applicationsStochastic volatilityVolatility (finance)Forward volatilityEconometricsSABR volatility modelQuadratic variationImplied volatilityVolatility swapVolatility smileVariance swap

Funding

  • Samfund og Erhverv, Det Frie Forskningsråd
  • National Research Foundation
  • Danmarks Grundforskningsfond
  • Economic and Social Research Council
Citations
2,286
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References
The distribution of realized stock return volatility
Journal of Financial Economics · 2001 · 2,339 citations
Non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck-based Models and Some of Their Uses in Financial Economics
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) · 2001 · 1,876 citations
Time Series Analysis
Technometrics · 1997 · 3,239 citations
Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models
The Review of Economic Studies · 1998 · 2,310 citations
Long memory relationships and the aggregation of dynamic models
Journal of Econometrics · 1980 · 1,474 citations
Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter
Journal of the Operational Research Society · 1991 · 4,813 citations
Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?
The Journal of Finance · 1989 · 3,520 citations
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